Daron Acemoglu

https://economics.mit.edu/people/faculty/daron-acemoglu

Sources

• article

  Don't Believe the AI Hype

  Nobel laureate Acemoglu argues that AI productivity forecasts from Goldman Sachs and McKinsey are vastly overstated, with actual GDP effects likely under 2% over a decade.

• paper

  The Simple Macroeconomics of AI

  Acemoglu's formal economic analysis estimating AI's TFP contribution at under 0.66% over 10 years, far below industry forecasts.

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