AI
Posts
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February 16, 2026
So what's next?
If we extrapolate the growth curve of AI outward for just a few more years, it's going to change everything. What should a rational person do to get ready?
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February 12, 2026
Yesterday's projects
Coding LLMs make the creation of tiny, composable tools almost free.
Sources
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article
AI Will Transform the Global Economy. Let's Make Sure It Benefits Humanity.
The IMF Managing Director warns that nearly 40% of global jobs are exposed to AI disruption, with a significant readiness gap between wealthy and low-income nations.
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article
Anthropic's CEO Says We're in the 'Centaur Phase' of Software Engineering
Amodei compares human-AI collaboration in software engineering to chess's centaur era, warning the phase may last only 1-5 years.
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video
Anthropic's CEO: 'We Don't Know if the Models Are Conscious'
Hour-long NYT 'Interesting Times' interview where Douthat presses Amodei on both the utopian promise and existential risks of transformative AI.
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page
Colophon
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article
DeepMind's AlphaFold Changed How Researchers Work
MIT Technology Review on how AlphaFold solved the 50-year protein folding problem and shifted DeepMind's focus from games to science.
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article
Don't Believe the AI Hype
Nobel laureate Acemoglu argues that AI productivity forecasts from Goldman Sachs and McKinsey are vastly overstated, with actual GDP effects likely under 2% over a decade.
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article
Machines of Loving Grace
Dario Amodei's essay on how AI could transform biology, neuroscience, poverty, governance, and work.
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article
Meta's AI Chief Yann LeCun on AGI, Open-Source, and AI Risk
TIME interview where Meta's chief AI scientist argues LLMs are not a path to AGI and advocates for open-source AI development.
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article
Something Big Is Happening
Shumer argues we're in the early phase of an AI transformation far larger than COVID-19, with most people unaware of its true scale.
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article
The Adolescence of Technology
Amodei's companion essay to Machines of Loving Grace, focused on the risks of transformative AI and the pragmatic interventions needed to navigate them.
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paper
The Simple Macroeconomics of AI
Acemoglu's formal economic analysis estimating AI's TFP contribution at under 0.66% over 10 years, far below industry forecasts.